trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 14% | 14% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 14% | 14% | -7.9% |
| all | 22 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 50% | 9% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 9% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 5% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 0% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 0% | -31.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $55 | +$8 | +14% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | -5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 27 | $41 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Dec 09 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? | Jun 06 | $9 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 20 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Malik Beasley win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwight Howard make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Mar 23 | $9 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February | Feb 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on February 26? | Feb 25 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Baylor vs. Cincinnati | Feb 25 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| North Carolina Central vs. MD Eastern Shore | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| The Citadel vs. Furman | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025? | Feb 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |