Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:48:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc40…6e0b
crypto · 467 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$74 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses301 / 166
Open positions0
Markets (closed)467 / 467
History coverage111d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 467 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 -6.0% -15.0% 69% 60% -16.1%
≤30d 336 -5.3% -14.3% 65% 56% -14.4%
≤90d 444 -4.2% -13.3% 63% 51% -11.8%
all 467 -3.4% -12.6% 64% 51% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 51% -11.5%
10% -21.0% 22% -19.9%
15% -28.6% 10% -27.7%
20% -35.6% 5% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1609 history records