Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:07:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BC
0xbc38…bb0e
sports · 430 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$723 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$723 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$87
Realized+$723
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses212 / 207
Est. fees paid−$120
Open positions11
Markets (closed)419 / 430
History coverage18d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day75.4
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 11 History 419 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$288
7 days−$117
14 days+$723
30 days+$723
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 83¢ $54 $65 +$11 (+20%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 44¢ 24¢ $16 $8 −$7 (-47%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 78¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+76%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ 84¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+69%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 39¢ 60¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+55%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 15¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-37%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? No 42¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-48%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 40¢ 55¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+38%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$15 +146%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $33 +$41 +124%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $31 −$23 -74%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $65 −$15 -22%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $24 −$10 -42%
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$8 +114%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $13 +$6 +44%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $25 −$23 -94%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $174 +$9 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $69 +$2 +3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $24 +$6 +27%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $21 +$39 +188%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $80 +$47 +58%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $7 +$7 +101%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 +$4 +27%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) Jun 12 $24 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $94 +$107 +114%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $6 −$4 -68%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $65 −$43 -67%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $29 −$24 -83%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $86 −$64 -75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$368
other 10% −$161
crypto 4% +$513
world 1% +$6
politics 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 31¢ $9 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 14¢ $5 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 44¢ $16 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $54 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ $2 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 59¢ $1 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $9 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 26¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 23¢ $9 12h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette SELL Magda Linette 11¢ $8 12h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 33¢ $9 13h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $5 13h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 13h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 25¢ $11 13h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 13h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 24¢ $1 13h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Caty McNally 11¢ $1 14h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova SELL Anastasia Tikhonova 12¢ $8 14h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 27¢ $11 14h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 16¢ $2 14h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $1 14h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 52¢ $2 14h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 51¢ $3 14h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 14h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova SELL Polina Iatcenko 52¢ $43 14h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 70¢ $6 15h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Polina Iatcenko 29¢ $2 15h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 69¢ $6 15h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Anastasia Tikhonova 70¢ $1 15h
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova BUY Polina Iatcenko 28¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 -8.9% -17.5% 50% 40% -11.2%
≤30d 419 -9.0% -17.7% 51% 40% -2.9%
≤90d 419 -9.0% -17.7% 51% 40% -2.9%
all 419 -9.0% -17.7% 51% 40% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 40% -2.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 31% -12.2%
15% -32.7% 26% -20.6%
20% -39.3% 20% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $87.40 · official $87.10 (match) · 1750 history records