trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $12 | $12 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$6 | +246% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$5 | +158% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$2 | +44% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$6 | -61% |
| Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 07 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | Apr 07 | $3 | +$3 | +96% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 06 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G | Apr 05 | $4 | $0 | -11% |
| Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner | Apr 05 | $7 | +$3 | +42% |
| Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner | Apr 05 | $5 | +$2 | +48% |
| Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | Apr 05 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner | Apr 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Apr 05 | $2 | +$2 | +95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +49.5% | +35.3% | 60% | 60% | +20.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +49.5% | +35.3% | 60% | 60% | +20.8% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 47% | 47% | -11.4% |
| all | 17 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 47% | 47% | -11.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.8% | 47% | -11.4% |
| 10% | -8.0% | 41% | -19.9% |
| 15% | -16.9% | 41% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -25.0% | 24% | -34.7% |