trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +135.2% | +112.8% | 57% | 57% | +75.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +189.5% | +162.0% | 64% | 64% | +114.5% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +80.6% | +63.4% | 54% | 54% | +78.7% |
| all | 29 | +97.7% | +78.9% | 59% | 59% | +78.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +78.9% | 59% | +78.2% |
| 10% | +61.8% | 59% | +61.2% |
| 15% | +46.1% | 55% | +45.6% |
| 20% | +31.8% | 55% | +31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 22¢ | $120 | $156 | +$36 (+30%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $120 | $144 | +$24 (+20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AN | Jun 27 | $26 | +$78 | +304% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND | Jun 27 | $19 | +$96 | +492% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $50 | +$15 | +30% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $30 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $43 | −$5 | -12% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND | Jun 25 | $51 | +$91 | +180% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $51 | −$18 | -35% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 20 | $13 | +$73 | +545% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND | Jun 17 | $10 | +$49 | +474% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $64 | +$140 | +219% |
| Bamba Dieng: Anytime Goalscorer | May 17 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $16 | +$16 | +101% |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $8 | +$8 | +105% |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang: Anytime Goalscorer | May 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19? | May 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | May 07 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal? | Apr 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $9 | +$10 | +110% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $15 | +$11 | +74% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 08 | $30 | +$23 | +76% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Apr 08 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? | Apr 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 31 | $27 | +$23 | +85% |
| Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 | Mar 23 | $30 | +$18 | +59% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Mar 21 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 18 | $25 | +$15 | +59% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $3 | +$15 | +488% |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC end in a draw? | Mar 16 | $4 | +$12 | +300% |