Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbfb…14d1
crypto · 94 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses66 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage25d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 32¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 92¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 86¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 20 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 20 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 20 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 20 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 20 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 20 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 20 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 20 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 20 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 20 $1 −$1 -69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$7
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -1.8% -11.1% 84% 47% -10.6%
≤30d 94 -6.8% -15.6% 70% 44% -13.0%
≤90d 94 -6.8% -15.6% 70% 44% -13.0%
all 94 -6.8% -15.6% 70% 44% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 44% -13.0%
10% -23.7% 16% -21.3%
15% -31.1% 6% -28.9%
20% -37.8% 3% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 331 history records