trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 42% | 8% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +8.7% | -1.7% | 42% | 8% | -8.8% |
| all | 28 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 32% | 4% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.8% | 4% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 4% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 4% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 4% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $70 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 26 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 26 | $45 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $2 | +$2 | +100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 17 | $22 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair? | Jun 12 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 11 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok? | Jun 10 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 06 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Jun 03 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 02 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Jun 02 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $210 in May? | May 29 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30? | May 29 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |