trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -39.8% | -45.6% | 27% | 27% | -12.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -39.8% | -45.6% | 27% | 27% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -39.8% | -45.6% | 27% | 27% | -12.1% |
| all | 15 | -39.8% | -45.6% | 27% | 27% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.6% | 27% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -50.8% | 27% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -55.5% | 20% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -59.9% | 13% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83¢ | 96¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+16%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 58¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 23¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $4 | +$3 (+335%) |
| Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-44%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $252 | +$81 | +32% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $107 | −$49 | -46% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$7 | -67% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |