trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +54.6% | +39.9% | 100% | 100% | +39.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +70.4% | +54.2% | 100% | 100% | +39.5% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +109.2% | +89.3% | 100% | 83% | +38.8% |
| all | 12 | +57.1% | +42.1% | 75% | 67% | +16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +42.1% | 67% | +16.8% |
| 10% | +28.5% | 67% | +5.7% |
| 15% | +16.1% | 58% | -4.5% |
| 20% | +4.7% | 33% | -13.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $630 | $625 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $647 | +$353 | +55% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | May 31 | $120 | +$50 | +42% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the | May 26 | $20 | +$23 | +115% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO | Apr 23 | $2 | +$1 | +27% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the | Apr 22 | $768 | +$106 | +14% |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Mar 25 | $203 | +$11 | +5% |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Mar 23 | $258 | +$110 | +43% |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Mar 19 | $515 | +$224 | +43% |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Feb 26 | $510 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Feb 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | Feb 02 | $526 | +$53 | +10% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jan 25 | $512 | −$78 | -15% |