Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbd9…fd91
crypto · 1813 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$736 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$731 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized−$731
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1532 / 498
Open positions19
Markets (closed)2030 / 1813
History coverage21d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day88.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 19 History 2030 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$933
7 days−$827
14 days−$816
30 days−$731
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 85¢ 92¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 88¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 70¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 93¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 67¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Vanta IPO before 2027? No 93¢ 86¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 90¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 50¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 82¢ 18¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-78%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 62¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-40%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 28? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 3? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Athletics vs. New York Yankees Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 14? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% +$266
other 23% +$13
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4m
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY No 83¢ $5 7m
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY No 70¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 58m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1089 -22.5% -29.9% 66% 33% -26.3%
≤30d 2030 -11.3% -19.8% 75% 36% -17.7%
≤90d 2030 -11.3% -19.8% 75% 36% -17.7%
all 2030 -11.3% -19.8% 75% 36% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 36% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 17% -25.6%
15% -34.5% 8% -32.8%
20% -40.9% 3% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.03 · official $70.88 · 3500 history records