Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:30:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
BB 0xbbd5…805a crypto 291 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$45 (+1%) realized +$43 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate88%255W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day89.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$44now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$57
other 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 290 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 42% -8.6%
≤30d 290 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 42% -8.6%
≤90d 290 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 42% -8.6%
all 290 +1.0% -8.6% 88% 42% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 42% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 2% -17.4%
15% -25.4% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$12 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$44
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses255 / 35
Open positions1
Markets (closed)290 / 291
History coverage4d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day89.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 290 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $42 $44 +$2 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 20 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $47 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $36 +$5 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 22 $36 +$5 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $38 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $38 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 22 $38 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $37 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $36 +$6 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $18 +$2 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$4 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $19 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $9 +$1 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $7 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $18 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $18 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $12 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $19 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $18 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $19 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $17 +$4 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $19 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$3 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $19 −$18 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$3 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $19 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 22 $9 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 22 $16 +$3 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $19 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$3 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 22 $17 +$3 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $18 +$3 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $42 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $47 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $37 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $37 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $38 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $38 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $38 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $37 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $37 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $37 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $36 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $18 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $19 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $16 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $18 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $12 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $19 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $18 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $17 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $17 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.18 · official $39.74 · 676 history records