Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:23:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbbf…388e
sports · 504 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$102
Realized−$30
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses226 / 240
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions38
Markets (closed)466 / 504
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day484.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 38 History 466 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$118
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 70¢ 98¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+40%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 48¢ $6 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) United States 41¢ 80¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+94%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 62¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+62%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Chicago White Sox 59¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+66%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5) New York Mets 81¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 44¢ 58¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+32%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 86¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Houston Astros 57¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 99¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Spurs 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 57¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 55¢ 55¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 22¢ 22¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 34¢ 34¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 88¢ 89¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 72¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) New York Yankees 31¢ 28¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 13 $3 −$5 -195%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$7 -71%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -196%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $23 −$8 -34%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $11 −$14 -121%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $38 −$15 -38%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $17 −$3 -19%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 13 $3 −$5 -197%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $3 −$7 -197%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 13 $4 −$8 -194%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$1 +21%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $12 −$2 -21%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +119%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$3 -47%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $15 −$5 -35%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -30%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$5 -15%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +67%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 −$2 -9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Jun 12 $7 $0 -7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$56
other 8% −$58
crypto 5% −$59
tech 3% +$23
weather 1% +$1
finance 1% −$4
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 2m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 98¢ $1 4m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 99¢ $3 6m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 55¢ $3 8m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 98¢ $1 22m
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 60¢ $3 23m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 24m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 24m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 44¢ $3 24m
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) BUY Houston Astros 57¢ $3 28m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ $3 28m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 51¢ $3 28m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 13¢ $3 29m
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 1¢ $4 30m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 88¢ $3 31m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 31¢ $3 31m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 32m
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 99¢ $3 32m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 10¢ $3 32m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 82¢ $1 35m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 82¢ $1 35m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 82¢ $2 35m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 67¢ $3 36m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 57¢ $3 36m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 45¢ $3 38m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 72¢ $3 39m
Will CD La Serena win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 39m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 14¢ $4 41m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 10¢ $3 42m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 34¢ $3 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 466 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 41% -9.3%
≤30d 466 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 41% -9.3%
≤90d 466 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 41% -9.3%
all 466 -7.7% -16.5% 48% 41% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover484.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 41% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 32% -18.0%
15% -31.8% 26% -25.9%
20% -38.5% 20% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $101.67 · official $100.54 · 3500 history records