trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Down | 32¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+45%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Natus Vincere | 36¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 26¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$6 | +111% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Jun 12 | $11 | −$3 | -24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -85% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 59% | 35% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 59% | 35% | -12.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 59% | 35% | -12.3% |
| all | 17 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 59% | 35% | -12.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 35% | -12.3% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 29% | -20.7% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 18% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 6% | -35.4% |