trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 52% | 44% | -16.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 52% | 44% | -16.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 52% | 44% | -16.8% |
| all | 25 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 52% | 44% | -16.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.9% | 44% | -16.8% |
| 10% | -33.0% | 28% | -24.7% |
| 15% | -39.4% | 24% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -45.4% | 16% | -38.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 58¢ | $30 | $27 | −$3 (-9%) |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-69%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $25 | +$5 | +20% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $35 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Argentina to score first vs. Austria? | Jun 23 | $3 | +$1 | +40% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $14 | +$6 | +46% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +15% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1 | +$1 | +60% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Spain to score first vs. Saudi Arabia? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 21 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +24% |