Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbb7…a11a
weather · 260 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$5,261 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,712 · open +$324
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,307
Realized+$4,712
Unrealized+$324
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses211 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions24
Markets (closed)236 / 260
History coverage22d
Avg bet$239
Trades / day75.7
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 24 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,848
7 days+$3,627
14 days+$4,736
30 days+$4,712
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14? No 82¢ 88¢ $1,380 $1,483 +$103 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 14? No 95¢ 95¢ $933 $933 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14? No 66¢ 62¢ $881 $834 −$47 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 89¢ 98¢ $691 $764 +$73 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 97¢ 97¢ $654 $657 +$3 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 14? No 94¢ 100¢ $543 $574 +$31 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14? No 80¢ 92¢ $471 $538 +$67 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14? Yes 53¢ 73¢ $330 $452 +$122 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 89¢ 81¢ $441 $403 −$39 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 14? No 84¢ 81¢ $282 $273 −$8 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? No 95¢ 97¢ $250 $256 +$5 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $193 $185 −$7 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 14? No 97¢ 97¢ $180 $181 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 97¢ 99¢ $144 $147 +$3 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 96¢ 96¢ $141 $141 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 96¢ 97¢ $104 $105 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14? No 95¢ 97¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 42¢ 54¢ $76 $98 +$22 (+29%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 14? No 97¢ 98¢ $55 $56 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 14? No 96¢ 86¢ $47 $42 −$5 (-10%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14? No 83¢ 70¢ $43 $37 −$6 (-15%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? Yes 38¢ 57¢ $19 $28 +$9 (+50%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 53¢ 42¢ $22 $17 −$5 (-22%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? Yes 33¢ 52¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14? Yes 6¢ 3¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-54%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $3 +$6 +185%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 14 $885 +$71 +8%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 14 $311 +$69 +22%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 14 $537 +$16 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 14 $518 +$116 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13? Jun 14 $547 +$20 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 14 $378 +$15 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 14 $1,546 +$303 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 14 $149 +$8 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 14 $846 +$31 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 14 $48 +$3 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $949 +$113 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 13? Jun 14 $136 +$4 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 14 $192 +$6 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $9 +$10 +103%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? Jun 14 $154 +$6 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 14 $105 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 14 $373 +$14 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 14 $729 +$372 +51%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 14 $229 +$8 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 14 $14 +$3 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 13? Jun 14 $408 +$14 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 14 $735 +$126 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $852 −$842 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 13 $10 +$30 +301%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 13 $127 +$8 +7%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 13 $248 +$90 +36%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun Jun 13 $1,208 +$37 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 13 $449 +$111 +25%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 13 $173 +$40 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 13 $134 +$135 +101%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 13 $513 +$18 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 13 $996 +$191 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $854 +$65 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $255 +$8 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $51 +$60 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $113 +$8 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 13 $485 +$19 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1,139 +$202 +18%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $203 +$14 +7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 13 $647 +$38 +6%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 13 $799 +$299 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 12 $87 −$85 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 12 $64 −$62 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $180 −$178 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$5,035
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 92¢ $89 1m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 92¢ $64 1m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 91¢ $18 3m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY Yes 50¢ $82 3m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY Yes 48¢ $17 8m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $32 9m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $48 9m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 90¢ $137 15m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $100 49m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June BUY Yes 53¢ $84 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $96 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju BUY No 95¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 71¢ $105 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 93¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 93¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 93¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $32 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 73¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +9.0% -1.4% 88% 39% -1.9%
≤30d 236 +17.0% +5.9% 89% 45% -1.6%
≤90d 236 +17.0% +5.9% 89% 45% -1.6%
all 236 +17.0% +5.9% 89% 45% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.9% 45% -1.6%
10% ← realistic here -4.3% 25% -11.1%
15% -13.5% 19% -19.6%
20% -22.0% 15% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,307.01 · official $8,306.61 (match) · 1886 history records