Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbbb4…0060
sports · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,290 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,474 · open +$184
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,384
Realized−$1,474
Unrealized+$184
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses49 / 84
Est. fees paid−$137
Open positions52
Markets (closed)133 / 185
History coverage4d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day109.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 52 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$986
7 days−$1,474
14 days−$1,474
30 days−$1,474
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 37¢ 100¢ $74 $200 +$126 (+170%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 100¢ $98 $200 +$102 (+104%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 65¢ 100¢ $130 $200 +$70 (+54%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 100¢ $74 $200 +$126 (+170%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $160 $161 +$1 (+1%)
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 78¢ $160 $155 −$5 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 44¢ 62¢ $88 $125 +$37 (+42%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) FUT Esports 53¢ 58¢ $106 $117 +$11 (+10%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 53¢ 56¢ $106 $111 +$5 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 46¢ 55¢ $92 $109 +$17 (+18%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $104 $107 +$3 (+3%)
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 51¢ 50¢ $102 $101 −$1 (-1%)
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 76¢ $101 $100 −$1 (-1%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Forsaken 40¢ 50¢ $80 $99 +$19 (+24%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $98 $93 −$5 (-5%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 46¢ 46¢ $92 $93 +$1 (+1%)
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 45¢ 44¢ $90 $89 −$1 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 44¢ $84 $87 +$3 (+4%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) G2 42¢ 42¢ $84 $83 −$1 (-1%)
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $72 $71 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 28¢ 32¢ $56 $63 +$7 (+12%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 62¢ $65 $62 −$2 (-4%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 31¢ 30¢ $62 $61 −$1 (-2%)
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 58¢ 55¢ $58 $55 −$3 (-5%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 59¢ 58¢ $52 $51 −$1 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $195 +$5 +2%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $84 +$116 +138%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $201 −$1 -1%
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $44 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $207 −$7 -3%
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $79 $0 -0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $103 +$97 +93%
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl Jun 12 $63 +$1 +2%
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -2%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 Jun 12 $65 −$1 -1%
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $21 $0 -0%
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $108 $0 +0%
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $85 $0 -0%
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $84 +$2 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $60 −$1 -2%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $89 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 12 $89 +$3 +3%
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $125 −$2 -2%
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $175 −$2 -1%
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $170 −$1 -0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $136 +$64 +47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $115 −$114 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $114 +$86 +75%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $191 +$9 +4%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $158 +$42 +27%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $120 +$80 +67%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $92 +$108 +117%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $63 +$37 +59%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $74 −$74 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? Jun 11 $120 −$120 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $142 +$58 +41%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $114 −$114 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $105 −$104 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Alexis Vega: 3+ shots Jun 11 $54 −$54 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $121 −$120 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $114 −$114 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $63 −$62 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 −$62 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $110 −$110 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $120 −$24 -20%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $56 +$44 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$444
other 32% −$847
world 1% −$2
crypto 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 45¢ $1 26m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY G2 42¢ $0 45m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY G2 42¢ $72 45m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $50 47m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $34 47m
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY G2 42¢ $12 48m
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 59¢ $7 57m
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 44¢ $44 1h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $23 1h
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 30¢ $30 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $8 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $20 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $11 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $40 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 46¢ $12 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $63 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $8 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $35 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $4 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 37¢ $74 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 79¢ $36 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 79¢ $4 1h
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 79¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -21.9% -29.4% 37% 31% -22.3%
≤30d 133 -21.9% -29.4% 37% 31% -22.3%
≤90d 133 -21.9% -29.4% 37% 31% -22.3%
all 133 -21.9% -29.4% 37% 31% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 31% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -36.1% 30% -29.7%
15% -42.3% 27% -36.5%
20% -47.9% 23% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,383.73 · official $3,383.73 (match) · 465 history records