Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:04:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbba5…3a2c crypto 345 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (129 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-0%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate20%72W / 292L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day128.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$61now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (129 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 364 -5.0% -14.0% 20% 6% -10.4%
≤30d 364 -5.0% -14.0% 20% 6% -10.4%
≤90d 364 -5.0% -14.0% 20% 6% -10.4%
all 364 -5.0% -14.0% 20% 6% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover128.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 6% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 2% -18.9%
15% -29.8% 1% -26.8%
20% -36.7% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
0.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$61
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses72 / 292
Open positions1
Markets (closed)364 / 345
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day128.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 364 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 50¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 50¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 20 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$3 -103%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -163%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -112%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $28 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $23 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $32 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $0 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $61.00 · official $61.00 (match) · 3500 history records