Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:45:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbba2…cc45 crypto 482 markets active 3d ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (802 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$34,011 (-317%) realized −$34,011 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -48% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -60% what you keep after slip
Net edge-60%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate24%218W / 686L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day802.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (802 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-53.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 904 -48.1% -53.1% 24% 19% -43.4%
≤30d 904 -48.1% -53.1% 24% 19% -43.4%
≤90d 904 -48.1% -53.1% 24% 19% -43.4%
all 904 -48.1% -53.1% 24% 19% -43.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover802.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.1% 19% -43.4%
10% ← realistic here -57.6% 13% -48.8%
15% -61.7% 10% -53.7%
20% -65.4% 10% -58.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -38% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -48% · $-wt -38% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -99% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$11 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.13 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$34,011
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses218 / 686
Open positions0
Markets (closed)904 / 482
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day802.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 904 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$59 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $58 −$58 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -153%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.88 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records