Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb9c…072b
other · 144 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$46,073 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43,600 · open +$2,996
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46,465
Realized+$43,600
Unrealized+$2,996
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses115 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions6
Markets (closed)138 / 144
History coverage70d
Avg bet$16,522
Trades / day46.4
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit35%
Chart Positions 6 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$159
7 days+$2,745
14 days+$9,904
30 days+$20,517
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 94¢ 100¢ $38,792 $41,311 +$2,520 (+6%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 74¢ 89¢ $3,232 $3,878 +$645 (+20%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 16¢ 13¢ $698 $561 −$137 (-20%)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? Yes 64¢ 80¢ $346 $434 +$88 (+26%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes 31¢ 25¢ $283 $225 −$58 (-20%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? Yes 14¢ 6¢ $118 $56 −$62 (-53%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $27 −$18 -67%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $6,766 +$21 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $989 +$156 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1,265 −$76 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $23,753 −$75 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $27,580 +$1,506 +6%
Utah Archers vs. Carolina Chaos Jun 09 $1,016 +$1 +0%
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by Jun Jun 09 $59,617 +$60 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $378 −$29 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $178 +$20 +11%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $101,067 +$141 +0%
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? Jun 08 $13,740 +$61 +0%
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $6,261 +$28 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $26 +$2 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,881 +$382 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $5,949 +$564 +10%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $378,460 +$4,093 +1%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 03 $111 $0 +0%
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? Jun 03 $582 +$139 +24%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $4,219 +$176 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,212 +$406 +34%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $3,026 +$462 +15%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $32,267 +$482 +2%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $5,444 +$53 +1%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $1,452 +$7 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $1,855 +$386 +21%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $4,800 +$5 +0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $978 −$197 -20%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $450-$460 on the final day of trading o May 30 $1,523 +$2 +0%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading o May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May? May 30 $7,802 +$12 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026? May 30 $746 +$1 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 30 $53,459 +$248 +0%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap May 30 $39 $0 -1%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 30 $412 +$2 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 29 $43,495 +$42 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 29 $2,180 +$2 +0%
Canada recession before 2027? May 29 $3,961 +$10 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $2,337 +$1,041 +44%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 29 $1,621 +$198 +12%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 29 $3,855 −$781 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $44,515 +$372 +1%
Will Dell say "xAI" during earnings call? May 29 $8,552 +$12 +0%
Will Trump say "Polling" this week? May 29 $5 $0 +0%
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? May 28 $1,127 −$64 -6%
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? May 28 $15,655 +$294 +2%
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026? May 28 $6,606 +$127 +2%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? May 27 $222 −$22 -10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 27 $8,574 −$148 -2%
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 2 May 27 $136 +$6 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% +$40,964
world 27% +$300
crypto 20% +$4,294
finance 5% +$303
tech 1% +$140
sports 1% +$132
politics 1% +$454
economics 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 89¢ $89 1m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 8m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 9m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 10m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 20m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 21m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 21m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 22m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 68¢ $748 27m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 38¢ $95 29m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 61¢ $61 29m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 61¢ $56 29m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 31¢ $64 33m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $112 33m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 63¢ $44 33m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 63¢ $82 33m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 66¢ $107 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -4.0% -13.2% 75% 19% -8.5%
≤30d 76 +1.5% -8.1% 78% 17% -8.1%
≤90d 138 +6.0% -4.1% 83% 17% -7.8%
all 138 +6.0% -4.1% 83% 17% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 17% -7.8%
10% -13.2% 7% -16.7%
15% ← realistic here -21.6% 4% -24.7%
20% -29.3% 4% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46,465.17 · official $46,465.17 (match) · 3500 history records