Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T23:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb97…81e2 crypto 1230 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (79 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,029 (-12%) realized −$1,029 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate81%991W / 239L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day79.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days−$140
14 days−$140
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$142
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (79 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1130 -3.2% -12.4% 83% 41% -11.1%
≤30d 1230 -2.7% -12.0% 81% 41% -11.1%
≤90d 1230 -2.7% -12.0% 81% 41% -11.1%
all 1230 -2.7% -12.0% 81% 41% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover79.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 41% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 7% -19.6%
15% -28.1% 3% -27.3%
20% -35.1% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,029
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses991 / 239
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1230 / 1230
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day79.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1230 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 25 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $91 −$42 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $29 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $51 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 25 $81 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $87 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 25 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $79 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $57 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 25 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 25 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $11 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records