Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T01:57:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb97…aa13 crypto 21 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (140 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$5 (-4%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%11W / 10L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day140.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (140 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -9.3% -18.0% 52% 52% -4.5%
≤30d 21 -9.3% -18.0% 52% 52% -4.5%
≤90d 21 -9.3% -18.0% 52% 52% -4.5%
all 21 -9.3% -18.0% 52% 52% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover140.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 52% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 33% -13.7%
15% -33.0% 29% -22.0%
20% -39.5% 24% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +6% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -48% → late +26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.18 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.29 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses11 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)21 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day140.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 21 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $45 −$8 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$5 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$8 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 151 history records