trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 25% | 25% | -6.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 25% | 25% | -6.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -38.3% | -44.2% | 23% | 23% | -10.9% |
| all | 20 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 25% | 25% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.8% | 25% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -50.1% | 25% | -21.3% |
| 15% | -54.9% | 25% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -59.3% | 25% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 36¢ | 10¢ | $250 | $67 | −$183 (-73%) |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 1¢ | $176 | $9 | −$168 (-95%) |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $150 | $3 | −$147 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $307 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $76 | −$74 | -97% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 | Jun 18 | $204 | −$181 | -89% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $203 | +$275 | +135% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $204 | +$323 | +158% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $507 | −$383 | -76% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $508 | −$420 | -83% |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 2 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $2,022 | +$1,141 | +56% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $308 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 24 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 01 | $100 | +$76 | +76% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 28 | $250 | +$355 | +142% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Feb 28 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 28 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Feb 28 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Feb 28 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Feb 28 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |