Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T16:03:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb91…dd87 sports 43 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,106 (+38%) realized +$1,135 · open −$29
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate37%14W / 24L
Drawdown69%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day77.6pace
Fees−$61est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$346now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 83% +$219
other 15% +$205
world 2% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -5.1% -14.2% 37% 37% +5.6%
≤30d 38 -5.1% -14.2% 37% 37% +5.6%
≤90d 38 -5.1% -14.2% 37% 37% +5.6%
all 38 -5.1% -14.2% 37% 37% +5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover77.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 37% +5.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 37% -4.5%
15% -29.9% 37% -13.7%
20% -36.8% 37% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +17% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +17% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +30% → late -40% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$110 vs −$48 · ×2.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.35 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$346
Realized+$1,135
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses14 / 24
Est. fees paid−$61
Open positions5
Markets (closed)38 / 43
History coverage1d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day77.6
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 38 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 41¢ 48¢ $115 $136 +$21 (+18%)
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Henrique Rocha 42¢ 42¢ $135 $133 −$2 (-1%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Elisabetta Cocciaretto 22¢ 44¢ $30 $59 +$29 (+98%)
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu Venus Williams 8¢ 6¢ $21 $17 −$4 (-19%)
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Raphael Collignon 45¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymer Jun 22 $48 +$82 +172%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Can Jun 22 $69 −$69 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhou Jun 22 $91 −$89 -97%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Maya Joint vs Emiliana Arango Jun 22 $59 −$59 -100%
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zheng Jun 22 $64 −$63 -98%
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan Jun 22 $99 +$331 +336%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Shintaro Mochizuki Jun 22 $34 −$33 -98%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmane Jun 22 $127 −$127 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Cadenasso vs Cina Jun 22 $60 −$60 -100%
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Jun 22 $48 +$83 +171%
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Giles Hussey vs Marco Trungellit Jun 22 $25 −$25 -100%
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Mallorca Championships: Yannick Hanfmann vs Adolfo Vallejo Jun 22 $31 −$31 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova Jun 22 $234 +$120 +52%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs Shnaider Jun 22 $50 −$50 -100%
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Noskova Jun 22 $60 −$60 -100%
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frech Jun 22 $40 −$40 -100%
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaider Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Izquierdo vs Kwon Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Lautaro Midon Jun 22 $71 −$71 -100%
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Valentin Royer Jun 22 $51 −$51 -100%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina Jun 22 $29 −$29 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cina Jun 22 $49 −$49 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Luka Pavlovic Jun 22 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $126 +$87 +69%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $55 +$37 +67%
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5 Jun 22 $51 +$74 +145%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $149 −$45 -31%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 21 $102 +$93 +92%
Cabo Verde leading at halftime? Jun 21 $34 +$49 +145%
ITF Tulsa: Jeffrey John Wolf vs Gavin Young Jun 21 $115 +$86 +75%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $71 +$78 +109%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5 Jun 21 $20 −$20 -100%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 Jun 21 $40 +$51 +129%
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Jan Choinski Jun 21 $75 +$139 +186%
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuel Jun 21 $60 +$234 +387%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto BUY Elisabetta Cocciaretto 22¢ $31 1m
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu BUY Venus Williams 8¢ $22 13m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto SELL Elisabetta Cocciaretto 87¢ $70 14m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto SELL Elisabetta Cocciaretto 79¢ $71 15m
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 41¢ $117 20m
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia BUY Henrique Rocha 42¢ $137 24m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo SELL Raphael Collignon 36¢ $60 26m
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto SELL Elisabetta Cocciaretto 51¢ $65 37m
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymer SELL Elias Ymer 100¢ $130 37m
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymer BUY Elias Ymer 36¢ $48 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhou BUY Guy Den Ouden 8¢ $91 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto BUY Elisabetta Cocciaretto 13¢ $40 1h
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zheng BUY Solana Sierra 23¢ $64 1h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan SELL Fabian Marozsan 100¢ $99 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo BUY Raphael Collignon 45¢ $152 1h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan SELL Fabian Marozsan 60¢ $57 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Shintaro Mochizuki BUY Vitaliy Sachko 19¢ $34 1h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan SELL Fabian Marozsan 84¢ $163 1h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan SELL Fabian Marozsan 77¢ $110 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Can BUY Francisco Comesana 37¢ $69 2h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Maya Joint vs Emiliana Arango BUY Maya Joint 21¢ $59 2h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan BUY Fabian Marozsan 18¢ $50 3h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmane BUY Terence Atmane 43¢ $25 3h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmane BUY Terence Atmane 45¢ $102 3h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcan BUY Fabian Marozsan 18¢ $49 3h
Set 1 Winner: Izquierdo vs Kwon BUY Izquierdo 34¢ $51 3h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daria Snigur vs Anhelina Kalinina BUY Daria Snigur 12¢ $29 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Lautaro Midon BUY Lautaro Midon 36¢ $71 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Luka Pavlovic BUY Mark Lajal 6¢ $19 4h
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cina BUY Gianluca Cadenasso 7¢ $49 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $346.38 · official $346.38 (match) · 109 history records