Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:53:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb8a…37ea crypto 53 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ net negative once open positions are counted
Total PnL −$12 (-4%) realized +$2 · open −$14
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR71%break-even
Win rate71%35W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day56.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +6.4% -3.7% 71% 71% -2.9%
≤30d 49 +6.4% -3.7% 71% 71% -2.9%
≤90d 49 +6.4% -3.7% 71% 71% -2.9%
all 49 +6.4% -3.7% 71% 71% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.7% 71% -2.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.9% 61% -12.2%
15% -21.3% 49% -20.7%
20% -29.0% 33% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.27 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses35 / 14
Open positions4
Markets (closed)49 / 53
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day56.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 49 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 56¢ 30¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 56¢ 26¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-53%)
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 63¢ 18¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-71%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 12 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$2 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.47 · official $5.65 (match) · 96 history records