trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 33% | 33% | -5.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 25% | 12% | -12.0% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +6.8% | -3.3% | 43% | 14% | -7.5% |
| all | 26 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 50% | 8% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 8% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 4% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 4% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 4% | -32.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 23 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $46 | +$7 | +15% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $62 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $109 | −$16 | -14% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 26 | $45 | −$1 | -3% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $65 | −$3 | -5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $22 | +$27 | +124% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 21 | $39 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 21 | $2 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 29 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 20 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | May 19 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | May 18 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 14 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025? | Apr 02 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025? | Feb 25 | $2 | −$2 | -89% |