Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T15:31:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
BB 0xbb7b…389d crypto 719 markets active 2h ago coverage 93d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,140 (+2%) realized +$2,140 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate90%648W / 71L
Whale WR92%big bets
Drawdown67%max
Avg bet$160per market
Trades / day10.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$456
14 days+$467
30 days+$723
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,697
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +6.1% -4.0% 98% 21% -4.0%
≤30d 197 +2.1% -7.6% 95% 15% -7.4%
≤90d 697 +1.5% -8.2% 90% 32% -7.9%
all 719 +1.6% -8.1% 90% 32% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 32% -8.2%
10% -16.9% 12% -17.0%
15% -24.9% 5% -25.0%
20% -32.3% 2% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 92% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$85 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.28 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

93d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses648 / 71
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)719 / 719
History coverage93d
Avg bet$160
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 719 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $180 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $181 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 19 $180 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $180 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $181 +$12 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $180 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $58 +$17 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $180 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $180 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $180 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $181 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $181 +$18 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $183 +$43 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $181 +$9 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $181 +$10 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $180 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $181 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $180 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $181 +$8 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$12 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $181 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $182 +$27 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $184 +$90 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $181 +$21 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $181 +$13 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $180 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$9 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $181 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$8 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$11 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $180 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $180 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $180 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $180 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $180 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $181 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $180 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $180 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $180 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $181 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $181 +$9 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $181 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $182 +$25 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $181 +$9 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $180 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $181 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $180 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $180 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $181 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $180 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $58 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $180 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $180 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $180 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $181 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $181 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $183 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $181 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $181 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $180 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $181 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $180 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $181 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $31 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $181 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $182 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $184 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $181 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $181 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $180 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $31 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $181 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1630 history records