Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:45:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb65…a13e crypto 674 markets active 5d ago coverage 24d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL −$310 (-2%) realized −$310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +37% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +5% what you keep after slip
Net edge+5%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate60%406W / 268L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day73.5pace
Kalshi-fit51%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$686
14 days−$586
30 days−$582
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 57% −$1,139
other 43% +$557
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +2.0% -7.7% 61% 53% -29.2%
≤30d 674 +36.7% +23.7% 60% 53% -13.9%
≤90d 674 +36.7% +23.7% 60% 53% -13.9%
all 674 +36.7% +23.7% 60% 53% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +23.7% 53% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here +11.9% 47% -22.2%
15% +1.1% 41% -29.7%
20% -8.8% 33% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +37% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +20% → late +53% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$17 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses406 / 268
Open positions0
Markets (closed)674 / 674
History coverage24d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day73.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 674 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$9 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +208%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +129%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $158 +$37 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +21%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $181 +$19 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$12 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$12 +83%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$9 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$27 +53%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$18 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +103%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$27 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$13 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$22 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $208 −$208 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $325 −$325 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $376 +$178 +47%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$11 +58%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$20 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$6 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2460 history records