Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:48:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
BB 0xbb5f…b3c1 other 9 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$27 (+2%) realized +$27 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate56%5W / 4L
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$122per market
Trades / day7.4pace
Kalshi-fit44%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 53% +$1
crypto 46% +$20
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +0.9% -8.7% 56% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 9 +0.9% -8.7% 56% 0% -7.8%
≤90d 9 +0.9% -8.7% 56% 0% -7.8%
all 9 +0.9% -8.7% 56% 0% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 0% -7.8%
10% -17.4% 0% -16.7%
15% -25.4% 0% -24.7%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 61% · top 2 95% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$0 · ×45.68 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×57.1 per $1 lost it wins $57.1
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit44%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 9 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $196 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $172 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $54 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $10 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $137 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 27 $11 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 27 $201 +$13 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 27 $296 +$7 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $196 59m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $172 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $54 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $137 1h
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL Yes 99¢ $11 11h
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $11 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $201 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $296 33h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records