Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:51:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
BB 0xbb5f…2eca crypto 1556 markets active 1h ago coverage 71d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 71d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$790 (+0%) realized +$790 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate97%1512W / 44L
Drawdown94%max
Avg bet$103per market
Trades / day27.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$225
14 days−$336
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$575
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +0.4% -9.1% 98% 5% -8.3%
≤30d 416 -0.3% -9.8% 96% 7% -9.5%
≤90d 1556 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 5% -9.2%
all 1556 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 5% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 5% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 1% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$44 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$790
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1512 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1556 / 1556
History coverage71d ⚠
Avg bet$103
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1556 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $245 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $243 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $241 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $251 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $249 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $251 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $118 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $247 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $247 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $247 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $250 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $248 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $247 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $246 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $246 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $244 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $245 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $244 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $244 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $246 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $172 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $282 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $283 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $281 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $281 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $280 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $280 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $279 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $281 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $190 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $276 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $268 +$14 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $272 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $270 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $268 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $270 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $190 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $243 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $164 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $175 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $65 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $250 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $251 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $249 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $251 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $118 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $248 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $248 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $208 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $247 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $247 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $250 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $248 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $247 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $246 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $247 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $246 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records