Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb51…932d crypto 1127 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$118 (+0%) realized +$118 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1100W / 27L
Drawdown72%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day41.6pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days−$125
14 days+$89
30 days+$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$56
other 2% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 1127 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 1127 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.4%
all 1127 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$23 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.11 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1100 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1127 / 1127
History coverage28d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1127 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $94 −$94 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $96 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $59 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $94 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 40h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2277 history records