Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:04:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb4f…297f
crypto · 378 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,509 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,508 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,508
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses167 / 209
Open positions2
Markets (closed)376 / 378
History coverage98d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 376 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$179
14 days−$161
30 days−$192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +841%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +756%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$11 +1074%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $138 −$138 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$10 +756%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$10 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$249
finance 17% −$1,100
other 3% −$164
tech 0% +$6
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 49m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 13h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 17h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +6.8% -3.4% 15% 15% -66.0%
≤30d 289 -7.3% -16.2% 46% 42% -19.0%
≤90d 346 -6.1% -15.0% 45% 42% -18.2%
all 376 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 40% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 40% -30.7%
10% -23.8% 25% -37.3%
15% -31.2% 19% -43.4%
20% -37.9% 16% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.67 · official $0.67 (match) · 1937 history records