Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb49…1f50
politics · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses2 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage193d
Avg bet$314
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 0 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 14 $569 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $284 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $287 −$2 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? May 23 $287 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 19 $288 −$1 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $575 $0 -0%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $287 +$1 +0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 09 $576 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $287 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? May 05 $287 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $288 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 16 $288 $0 +0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $288 $0 +0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $289 $0 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 08 $289 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? Apr 06 $289 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 04 $289 $0 +0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 02 $289 $0 +0%
Will Ethena dip to $0.00 in March? Mar 31 $289 $0 +0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 29 $289 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Mar Mar 27 $289 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma Mar 23 $289 $0 +0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Mar 22 $289 $0 +0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 19 $289 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Mar 18 $289 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 17 $572 −$2 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Mar 15 $572 $0 -0%
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 13 $289 $0 +0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 12 $289 $0 +0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 10 $289 $0 +0%
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? Mar 07 $294 −$4 -2%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 06 $294 $0 +0%
Ukraine election called in 2025? Jan 02 $279 −$1 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Dec 31 $283 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Dec 31 $283 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? Dec 30 $284 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? Dec 24 $279 −$1 -0%
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026? Dec 23 $285 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? Dec 22 $285 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Dec 21 $286 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Dec 21 $281 $0 -0%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Dec 19 $283 $0 -0%
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League? Dec 19 $289 $0 -0%
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025? Dec 16 $290 $0 -0%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Dec 15 $284 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 Dec 14 $290 $0 -0%
Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025? Dec 13 $285 −$1 -0%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Dec 12 $284 −$1 -0%
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Dec 09 $287 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Dec 08 $285 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 31% −$5
other 29% −$2
crypto 14% −$2
sports 9% −$5
economics 9% −$3
tech 3% −$1
world 3% −$1
culture 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $284 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $284 18h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $284 3d
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $284 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $285 11d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $285 14d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $285 15d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $287 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? SELL No 99¢ $287 21d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $55 22d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $232 22d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $287 25d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $288 26d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $287 28d
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 99¢ $287 29d
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 99¢ $4 30d
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 99¢ $74 30d
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 99¢ $138 30d
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 99¢ $71 30d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $287 31d
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $287 32d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $286 36d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $287 36d
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 99¢ $287 37d
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 99¢ $287 38d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $287 39d
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $287 40d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $288 56d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $288 57d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $288 58d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 7 -0.1% -9.7% 14% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 26 -0.1% -9.6% 8% 0% -9.6%
all 53 -0.1% -9.6% 4% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 232 history records