Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:51:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb49…c851
sports · 220 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$142 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$3
Realized−$142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses98 / 121
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)219 / 220
History coverage225d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$32
14 days−$71
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 36¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 40¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands - Who wins the toss? Scotland 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss? Delhi Capitals 49¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Who wins the toss? Royal Challengers Bengaluru 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 13¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders Delhi Capitals 31¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 45¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex - Who wins the toss? Middlesex 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss? Gujarat Titans 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Royal Challengers Bengaluru 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders Sunrisers Hyderabad 49¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings Lucknow Super Giants $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka West Indies 37¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals Kolkata Knight Riders 53¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans Rajasthan Royals $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings Delhi Capitals 20¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +111%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 -22%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $4 −$2 -35%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $10 −$4 -40%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $17 −$7 -43%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $5 +$1 +30%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire Jun 05 $8 −$1 -19%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 03 $16 −$16 -99%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex Jun 03 $5 +$4 +83%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $12 +$4 +32%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Who wins the t Jun 02 $5 +$5 +93%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $28 −$21 -74%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $7 +$1 +16%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Middlesex - Who wins the toss? May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 30 $31 −$16 -51%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh May 30 $11 +$2 +14%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Who wins the t May 30 $5 +$5 +98%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire May 29 $6 $0 -7%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $54 +$2 +3%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $13 +$8 +60%
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame May 28 $6 $0 +5%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands - Who wins the May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Who w May 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $34 +$4 +13%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 27 $39 −$16 -42%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - May 27 $8 +$8 +100%
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron May 25 $2 +$1 +43%
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex May 25 $5 +$1 +15%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $19 −$18 -99%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals - Who w May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $31 +$26 +83%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins t May 24 $10 +$10 +94%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $22 −$1 -6%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings - Who wins May 23 $5 +$5 +94%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who win May 21 $5 +$5 +91%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians - Who w May 20 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 20 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET May 20 $5 $0 -6%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $27 +$12 +43%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $16 −$9 -53%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Wh May 18 $5 +$4 +80%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $28 +$13 +44%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $8 −$2 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$112
other 8% −$16
crypto 6% −$15
tech 0% +$1
world 0% $0
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 14h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $2 14h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 27¢ $4 14h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $4 25h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 20¢ $3 43h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 30¢ $4 46h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 39¢ $6 2d
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 64¢ $10 2d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia $0 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia $3 3d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2 3d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Zeynep Sonmez 65¢ $6 3d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Zeynep Sonmez 49¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Zeynep Sonmez 49¢ $2 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 26¢ $5 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 46¢ $7 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 50¢ $7 4d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 35¢ $5 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Qinwen Zheng 51¢ $5 4d
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex BUY Middlesex $4 5d
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire SELL Lancashire 32¢ $6 7d
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire BUY Lancashire 38¢ $8 7d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 29¢ $4 9d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 40¢ $1 9d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 40¢ $3 9d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 40¢ $8 9d
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Sussex BUY Hampshire 54¢ $5 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -36.9% -42.9% 18% 18% -52.3%
≤30d 53 -10.5% -19.0% 45% 42% -18.2%
≤90d 181 -22.7% -30.1% 39% 35% -18.8%
all 219 -14.5% -22.6% 45% 38% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 38% -16.3%
10% -30.0% 33% -24.3%
15% -36.8% 29% -31.6%
20% -43.0% 21% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.55 · official $2.55 (match) · 671 history records