Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:40:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb42…76fa
world · 65 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$15 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses25 / 39
Open positions1
Markets (closed)64 / 65
History coverage521d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? Yes 10¢ 4¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $36 $0 -1%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $36 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $4 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 09 $45 $0 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 08 $44 $0 +0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 04 $3 $0 +3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $17 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 02 $44 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 01 $82 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? May 31 $48 $0 -0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? May 31 $45 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? May 31 $42 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 29 $157 −$1 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 28 $4 −$2 -36%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 27 $17 $0 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 27 $78 +$1 +2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? May 25 $18 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma May 24 $41 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 24 $46 +$3 +6%
Iran leadership change by May 31? May 21 $38 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? May 18 $42 +$1 +2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? May 17 $75 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 16 $4 $0 -4%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen May 16 $41 $0 +0%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? Jan 31 $16 −$8 -50%
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? Nov 21 $0 $0 -100%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship? Oct 06 $15 $0 +1%
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? Jul 05 $8 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 04 $8 $0 +0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 04 $8 $0 +0%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jul 03 $8 $0 -2%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 03 $8 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 02 $8 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 02 $1 $0 -4%
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in Jul 02 $7 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 02 $1 $0 -2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? Jul 01 $8 $0 -0%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 01 $8 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 01 $8 $0 -0%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Jun 24 $1 $0 +1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? Jun 24 $6 $0 -4%
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jun 06 $5 $0 +1%
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? Jun 04 $2 $0 +5%
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jun 02 $2 +$1 +42%
Will the Mumbai Indians win the 2025 Indian Premier League? Jun 02 $4 −$2 -37%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? Jun 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on May 30? May 30 $6 $0 +0%
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu before June? May 29 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 71% +$1
other 17% −$16
politics 6% +$5
sports 2% +$14
weather 2% −$13
economics 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 64¢ $8 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 63¢ $28 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 64¢ $2 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 64¢ $11 4h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 64¢ $24 4h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $37 8h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $36 11h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $39 14h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 94¢ $39 16h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 7¢ $12 19h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 10¢ $17 23h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 8¢ $4 3d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 3d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 91¢ $45 4d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 91¢ $45 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL Yes 67¢ $44 4d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY Yes 67¢ $44 4d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 9d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $17 9d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 9d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $7 9d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 10d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 31¢ $15 10d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 31¢ $15 10d
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 99¢ $44 10d
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 99¢ $44 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 40% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 25 -1.2% -10.6% 28% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 25 -1.2% -10.6% 28% 0% -9.4%
all 64 +1.3% -8.3% 39% 6% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 6% -10.2%
10% -17.1% 6% -18.8%
15% -25.1% 6% -26.6%
20% -32.5% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.17 · official $0.17 (match) · 214 history records