Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:45:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb36…1bf7 crypto 455 markets active 1h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$17,319 (+136%) realized +$17,319 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate49%223W / 232L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day73.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 41d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 -2.1% -11.4% 60% 59% -8.8%
≤30d 192 -0.9% -10.4% 64% 61% -6.8%
≤90d 455 -8.3% -17.1% 49% 46% -9.5%
all 455 -8.3% -17.1% 49% 46% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 46% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 36% -18.2%
15% -32.2% 25% -26.1%
20% -38.9% 17% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$16 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17,319
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses223 / 232
Open positions0
Markets (closed)455 / 455
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day73.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 455 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$43 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$35 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$14 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $88 +$52 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $74 +$51 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $60 +$36 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $58 +$64 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$11 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$16 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$20 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$110 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$23 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$176 +437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$129 +507%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $66 +$29 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$6 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $74 +$22 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$38 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $67 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $76 +$14 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$15 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$18 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $171 −$39 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $143 −$77 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $74 +$17 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $24 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $22 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $23 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $23 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records