Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:11:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb36…9575
weather · 325 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses130 / 189
Open positions6
Markets (closed)319 / 325
History coverage163d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$116
14 days+$184
30 days+$125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? Yes 41¢ 44¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 22? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 14? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 3? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 22? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 16? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$66 +629%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 +$12 +115%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +169%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 11 $10 +$13 +129%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9? Jun 11 $10 +$14 +139%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 11 $10 +$18 +171%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8? Jun 09 $10 +$11 +103%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? Jun 09 $10 +$20 +190%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7? Jun 08 $10 +$13 +126%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7? Jun 08 $10 +$23 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8? Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6? Jun 07 $10 +$11 +107%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5? Jun 07 $10 +$15 +149%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5? Jun 07 $10 +$24 +229%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 +$14 +139%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3? Jun 05 $10 +$14 +138%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 4? Jun 05 $10 +$30 +286%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4? Jun 03 $9 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4? Jun 03 $8 −$8 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 2? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1? Jun 02 $10 +$13 +129%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 1? Jun 02 $10 +$23 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 2? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 31? Jun 01 $10 +$19 +185%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 1? May 31 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30? May 31 $10 +$13 +123%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30? May 31 $10 +$17 +168%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 31? May 30 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29? May 30 $10 +$10 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30? May 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 27? May 29 $10 +$18 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29? May 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29? May 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28? May 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 28? May 27 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 28? May 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 95% $0
sports 3% +$4
world 2% −$18
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 25h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 25h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 25h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 4d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 4d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 4d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 5d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 5d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 5d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 6d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8? SELL Yes 60¢ $4 6d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 6d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 6d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 7d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 7d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 7d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 8d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7? BUY Yes 43¢ $10 8d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 8d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 9d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +57.6% +42.6% 53% 53% +45.0%
≤30d 79 +12.3% +1.6% 41% 41% +4.8%
≤90d 317 +13.0% +2.2% 41% 32% -10.0%
all 319 +13.0% +2.2% 41% 32% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.2% 32% -10.0%
10% -7.5% 30% -18.6%
15% -16.5% 30% -26.5%
20% -24.7% 29% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.64 · official $41.64 (match) · 656 history records