Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BB
0xbb2d…1104
sports · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses4 / 7
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)11 / 15
History coverage30d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 4 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$8 +250%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 +$5 +165%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? May 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? May 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 40% +$9
crypto 40% −$15
other 20% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +107.2% +87.5% 75% 75% +89.2%
≤30d 11 -6.0% -15.0% 36% 36% -20.3%
≤90d 11 -6.0% -15.0% 36% 36% -20.3%
all 11 -6.0% -15.0% 36% 36% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 36% -20.3%
10% -23.1% 36% -27.9%
15% -30.5% 36% -34.9%
20% -37.3% 36% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.29 · official $18.29 (match) · 21 history records