Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:47:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb1e…05f5 crypto 629 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (187 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$198 (-3%) realized −$198 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate48%304W / 325L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day186.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$257
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (187 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 629 -14.6% -22.8% 48% 48% -13.7%
≤30d 629 -14.6% -22.8% 48% 48% -13.7%
≤90d 629 -14.6% -22.8% 48% 48% -13.7%
all 629 -14.6% -22.8% 48% 48% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.8% 48% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 48% -21.9%
15% -36.9% 41% -29.5%
20% -43.1% 34% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.96 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$198
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses304 / 325
Open positions0
Markets (closed)629 / 629
History coverage4d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day186.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 629 Trades
no open positions (323 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$8 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $14 +$5 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$8 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 22 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$5 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 22 $12 +$4 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$6 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$5 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $8 +$11 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$9 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$9 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$7 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $27 +$24 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$5 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$11 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$6 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$9 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$5 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$7 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 22 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$5 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$5 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$8 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $14 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $12 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.77 · official $71.48 · 1065 history records