Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:03:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BB 0xbb1a…68c9 crypto 66 markets active 7d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (126 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$8 (-3%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate50%33W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day126.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (126 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -15.3%
≤30d 66 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -15.3%
≤90d 66 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -15.3%
all 66 -1.4% -10.8% 50% 47% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover126.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 47% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 41% -23.4%
15% -27.2% 35% -30.8%
20% -34.3% 24% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 36% · top 2 55% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses33 / 33
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day126.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 66 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +21%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$29 +398%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -52%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$4 -74%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$5 +69%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$3 -57%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +53%
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 10, 7AM ET? Jun 10 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$5 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 198 history records