Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
BB 0xbb13…5c7b crypto 36 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$62 (+11%) realized +$62 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate61%22W / 14L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day53.2pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% +$31
other 12% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +13.2% +2.4% 61% 53% -5.6%
≤30d 36 +13.2% +2.4% 61% 53% -5.6%
≤90d 36 +13.2% +2.4% 61% 53% -5.6%
all 36 +13.2% +2.4% 61% 53% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.4% 53% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -7.4% 44% -14.7%
15% -16.4% 33% -22.9%
20% -24.6% 22% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +13% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses22 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day53.2
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $37 −$37 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $18 +$19 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$11 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $57 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $46 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $37 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$9 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$14 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$21 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$9 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $37 4d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $18 4d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $7 5d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $7 5d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $7 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $8 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 151 history records