trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 15¢ | 0¢ | $55 | $0 | −$55 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | Thunder | 23¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | Khamzat Chimaev | 80¢ | 0¢ | $160 | $0 | −$160 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 9¢ | 0¢ | $76 | $0 | −$76 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | Utah | 13¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Spurs | 35¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Up | 20¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | Spurs | 57¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 11¢ | 0¢ | $300 | $0 | −$300 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | 39¢ | 0¢ | $167 | $0 | −$167 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1,048 | −$245 | -23% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $348 | −$322 | -92% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $944 | +$711 | +75% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $482 | −$67 | -14% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1,005 | +$6 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $369 | +$237 | +64% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $153 | +$62 | +41% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 03 | $408 | +$375 | +92% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $525 | +$217 | +41% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | May 29 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $152 | +$131 | +86% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $51 | +$58 | +114% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $246 | −$137 | -56% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | May 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | May 23 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $357 | +$208 | +58% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $102 | +$74 | +72% |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | May 10 | $40 | +$2 | +6% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | May 10 | $106 | +$46 | +43% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $233 | −$160 | -69% |
| UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $102 | +$108 | +106% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 10 | $50 | −$47 | -93% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $307 | −$300 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $56 | −$55 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $78 | −$76 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | May 02 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $223 | +$218 | +98% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $51 | −$34 | -66% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $170 | −$167 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $200 | −$15 | -7% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $100 | +$276 | +276% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 23 | $100 | −$84 | -84% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Apr 21 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | Apr 21 | $248 | −$248 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $151 | +$225 | +149% |
| Lakers vs. Spurs | Jan 08 | $70 | −$54 | -77% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Dec 26 | $57 | −$55 | -96% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 25¢ | $140 | 45m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 35¢ | $204 | 50m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Spurs | 66¢ | $244 | 50m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 67¢ | $151 | 50m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 67¢ | $101 | 51m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 30¢ | $176 | 56m |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 27¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 28¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 28¢ | $20 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 28¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 28¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 28¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 31¢ | $51 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 31¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 28¢ | $10 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 25¢ | $31 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 20¢ | $108 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 23¢ | $125 | 1h |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 0¢ | $10 | 24h |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 0¢ | $4 | 24h |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 1¢ | $21 | 24h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 91¢ | $1,655 | 25h |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 1¢ | $13 | 25h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 51¢ | $101 | 2d |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $51 | 2d |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $51 | 2d |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 51¢ | $152 | 2d |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 51¢ | $152 | 2d |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 23¢ | $51 | 2d |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 51¢ | $152 | 2d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -12.2% | -20.6% | 40% | 20% | +0.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 50% | 44% | +9.8% |
| ≤90d | 37 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 43% | 38% | +0.4% |
| all | 39 | -15.2% | -23.3% | 41% | 36% | -0.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.3% | 36% | -0.9% |
| 10% | -30.6% | 36% | -10.4% |
| 15% | -37.3% | 36% | -19.1% |
| 20% | -43.5% | 28% | -27.0% |