Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:42:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BB 0xbb07…acaa crypto 1028 markets active 1h ago coverage 76d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 76d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$73 (-1%) realized −$73 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate92%943W / 85L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day30.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$5
14 days−$4
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$13
sports 2% −$2
other 1% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -4.1% -13.2% 82% 27% -5.8%
≤30d 92 -1.7% -11.1% 85% 12% -9.4%
≤90d 1028 -0.9% -10.3% 92% 5% -9.7%
all 1028 -0.9% -10.3% 92% 5% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 5% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 2% -18.4%
15% -26.7% 1% -26.3%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses943 / 85
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1028 / 1028
History coverage76d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1028 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 15 $15 +$6 +39%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $10 −$5 -50%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $11 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$6 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 05 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 05 $6 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 04 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -77%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 03 $19 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 02 $11 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 01 $20 −$5 -24%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 01 $6 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +48%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 31 $10 +$1 +8%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 31 $12 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 31 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 31 $10 −$5 -45%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 30 $7 −$1 -20%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +65%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 30 $11 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 30 $11 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $31 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 2h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 34h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 34h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 34h
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 34h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 42¢ $5 34h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 36h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 36h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 2d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 77¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 2d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records