Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:03:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbaef…c0bd
crypto · 314 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$192 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$189
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses254 / 59
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)313 / 314
History coverage38d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$32
14 days−$36
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 96¢ 92¢ $70 $67 −$3 (-4%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 92¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 85¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 67¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Hanwha Life Esports 79¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 60¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs KT Rolster 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $11 +$2 +20%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $40 +$9 +22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $23 +$2 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$1 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$2 +32%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $16 $0 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 $0 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $34 +$1 +4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $23 +$1 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $13 +$1 +7%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $32 $0 +1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $12 $0 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $31 +$1 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $60 $0 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $18 +$2 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $36 $0 +1%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $17 +$1 +7%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $20 $0 +1%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $24 +$2 +8%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $21 +$3 +15%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $20 +$1 +3%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $50 +$1 +1%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $26 −$23 -87%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $21 +$4 +21%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $34 $0 +1%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $17 +$4 +21%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $46 +$1 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $29 +$5 +17%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 30 $30 +$2 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $67 +$1 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $33 +$4 +13%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 29 $20 +$3 +17%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $22 +$3 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $26 +$1 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 29 $15 +$1 +5%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $33 +$1 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $22 +$4 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $5 +$1 +14%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $15 +$1 +9%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $15 +$3 +20%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $14 +$1 +5%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $14 +$1 +7%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 27 $13 $0 +3%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 25 $13 +$5 +35%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 25 $15 $0 +2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner May 25 $12 +$6 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$125
sports 43% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $35 41m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 98¢ $13 56m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 85¢ $9 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $35 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 2¢ $0 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $16 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $16 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $8 27h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $49 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $25 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $10 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 90¢ $13 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $21 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $20 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $6 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 64¢ $4 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 61¢ $7 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $5 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $35 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 85¢ $21 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $16 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 96¢ $5 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 91¢ $20 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 98¢ $16 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $20 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $36 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 96¢ $20 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 98¢ $20 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 93¢ $14 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -10.8% -19.3% 82% 18% -17.7%
≤30d 122 -4.9% -13.9% 77% 41% -10.4%
≤90d 313 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 27% -13.4%
all 313 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 27% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 27% -13.4%
10% -21.3% 10% -21.7%
15% -28.9% 5% -29.3%
20% -35.9% 3% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.46 · official $67.46 (match) · 878 history records