Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbae6…1163
crypto · 2165 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$212 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$212 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses1131 / 904
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2035 / 2165
History coverage61d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day37.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2035 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$23
30 days+$235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $51 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $36 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +26.5% +14.5% 64% 64% -25.5%
≤30d 763 +12.6% +1.9% 59% 59% -2.3%
≤90d 2035 +3.8% -6.1% 56% 55% -6.6%
all 2035 +3.8% -6.1% 56% 55% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 55% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 53% -15.6%
15% -23.3% 50% -23.7%
20% -30.8% 48% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records