Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T17:57:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
BA 0xbad5…b2d9 crypto 1705 markets active 2h ago coverage 88d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 88d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$8 (+0%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1667W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day19.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$15
14 days−$31
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$46
finance 0% −$2
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 781 +0.2% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1705 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 1% -9.6%
all 1705 -0.3% -9.8% 98% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 1% -9.6%
10% -18.4% 1% -18.2%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$26 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1667 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1705 / 1705
History coverage88d ⚠
Avg bet$40
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1705 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 18 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $42 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $42 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $42 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $42 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $42 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $42 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $42 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records