Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbad3…1b51
crypto · 154 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$76 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$66 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$66
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses54 / 97
Open positions3
Markets (closed)151 / 154
History coverage3d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day104.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$66
14 days−$66
30 days−$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 49¢ 52¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 34¢ 36¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+8%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 76¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-16%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -17%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$60
other 6% −$16
politics 4% +$2
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 76¢ $2 4m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 5m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 5m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $9 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $13 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $12 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 151 -4.7% -13.7% 36% 19% -14.2%
≤30d 151 -4.7% -13.7% 36% 19% -14.2%
≤90d 151 -4.7% -13.7% 36% 19% -14.2%
all 151 -4.7% -13.7% 36% 19% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover104.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 19% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 17% -22.5%
15% -29.5% 15% -29.9%
20% -36.4% 13% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.87 · official $18.65 (match) · 353 history records