trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +126.7% | +105.1% | 60% | 60% | +345.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +119.3% | +98.4% | 67% | 67% | +308.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +46.2% | +32.3% | 44% | 44% | +197.7% |
| all | 21 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 29% | 29% | +36.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.3% | 29% | +36.5% |
| 10% | -37.0% | 29% | +23.4% |
| 15% | -43.1% | 24% | +11.5% |
| 20% | -48.6% | 24% | +0.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 40¢ | 40¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 29¢ | 32¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | +$11 | +211% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 16 | $5 | +$9 | +166% |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | Jun 16 | $110 | +$502 | +457% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 05 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Mar 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Mar 19 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Mar 03 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Mar 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Mar 03 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | Mar 03 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Mar 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Mar 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Feb 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the | Feb 26 | $175 | −$175 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Dolphins | Feb 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? | Feb 26 | $121 | +$41 | +34% |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | Feb 26 | $73 | +$50 | +68% |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | Nov 09 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |