Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbac7…8d58
crypto · 1429 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,206 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,207 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized−$3,207
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses770 / 664
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1434 / 1429
Avg bet$13
Trades / day64.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,386
7 days−$6,293
14 days−$4,621
30 days−$3,148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 68¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$3,228
sports 2% +$58
other 1% −$24
finance 0% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -60.8% -64.6% 25% 23% -68.1%
≤30d 1347 -7.9% -16.7% 53% 48% -23.3%
≤90d 1434 -7.8% -16.6% 54% 48% -23.2%
all 1434 -7.8% -16.6% 54% 48% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 48% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 38% -30.5%
15% -31.8% 30% -37.3%
20% -38.5% 24% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.48 · official $5.48 (match) · 3500 history records