Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

BA
0xbac4…bc48
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$3 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses39 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day94.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 59% -7.0%
≤30d 64 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 59% -7.0%
≤90d 64 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 59% -7.0%
all 64 -1.5% -10.9% 61% 59% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover94.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 59% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 58% -15.9%
15% -27.2% 45% -24.0%
20% -34.3% 28% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 162 history records