Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:01:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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BA 0xbabc…f582 crypto 1288 markets active 3d ago coverage 33d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d only
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2,032 (-6%) realized −$2,032 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate88%1139W / 149L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day59.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$228
14 days−$284
30 days−$397
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$448
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 +6.3% -3.8% 72% 36% -12.0%
≤30d 585 +1.4% -8.3% 83% 29% -11.2%
≤90d 1288 +0.3% -9.3% 88% 18% -10.7%
all 1288 +0.3% -9.3% 88% 18% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 18% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 7% -19.3%
15% -25.9% 3% -27.1%
20% -33.1% 2% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$24 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,032
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1139 / 149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1288 / 1288
History coverage33d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1288 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $184 −$25 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $86 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$22 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$21 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $19 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $50 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $40 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records